Dade City, FL — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Pasco County.
Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.
← All cities and the scoreboard
High 77° Low 61° Rain 11%
Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 29 points, 4 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | — | 57° | 17% |
| US model (GFS) | 76° | 62° | 1% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 79° | 62° | 29% |
| German model (ICON) | 77° | 61° | 0% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 77° | 62° | 7% |
| The average | 77° | 61° | 11% |
High 71° Low 53° Rain 2%
Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 8 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 72° | 45° | 0% |
| US model (GFS) | 71° | 53° | 8% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 71° | 58° | 2% |
| German model (ICON) | 71° | 53° | 0% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 69° | 53° | 0% |
| The average | 71° | 53° | 2% |
High 62° Low 43° Rain 0%
They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 64° | 43° | 0% |
| US model (GFS) | 62° | 43° | 0% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 61° | 45° | 0% |
| German model (ICON) | 63° | 40° | 0% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 61° | 43° | 0% |
| The average | 62° | 43° | 0% |
High 71° Low 47° Rain 0%
They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 1 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 72° | 53° | 0% |
| US model (GFS) | 71° | 49° | 1% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 70° | 47° | 0% |
| German model (ICON) | 71° | 44° | 0% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 71° | 42° | 0% |
| The average | 71° | 47° | 0% |
Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.