Minority Report

Dade County, GA — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Dade County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 61°   Low 45°   Rain 68%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 1°, rain spread 94 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 6% against a group average of 68%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—36°6%
US model (GFS)62°46°56%
European model (ECMWF)61°50°96%
German model (ICON)61°48°80%
Canadian model (GEM)60°47°100%
The average61°45°68%

Friday, November 13

High 49°   Low 36°   Rain 3%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 8 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service51°32°1%
US model (GFS)47°37°1%
European model (ECMWF)50°40°6%
German model (ICON)50°38°0%
Canadian model (GEM)48°35°8%
The average49°36°3%

Saturday, November 14

High 52°   Low 33°   Rain 1%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 5 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service53°30°0%
US model (GFS)51°34°0%
European model (ECMWF)51°35°0%
German model (ICON)53°34°0%
Canadian model (GEM)50°30°5%
The average52°33°1%

Sunday, November 15

High 54°   Low 33°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 1 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service56°33°1%
US model (GFS)52°33°0%
European model (ECMWF)54°34°0%
German model (ICON)55°34°0%
Canadian model (GEM)52°29°0%
The average54°33°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.