Minority Report

Daingerfield, TX — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Morris County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 75°   Low 49°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 1 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—45°1%
US model (GFS)76°47°0%
European model (ECMWF)74°52°0%
German model (ICON)74°49°0%
Canadian model (GEM)75°50°0%
The average75°49°0%

Friday, November 13

High 63°   Low 45°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 1 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service63°41°1%
US model (GFS)62°48°0%
European model (ECMWF)62°47°0%
German model (ICON)61°43°0%
Canadian model (GEM)65°46°0%
The average63°45°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 59°   Low 41°   Rain 10%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 25 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 25% against a group average of 10%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service59°43°25%
US model (GFS)61°41°4%
European model (ECMWF)59°42°10%
German model (ICON)58°38°10%
Canadian model (GEM)60°43°0%
The average59°41°10%

Sunday, November 15

High 51°   Low 43°   Rain 85%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 23 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 98% against a group average of 85%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service53°42°80%
US model (GFS)51°44°75%
European model (ECMWF)50°43°98%
German model (ICON)50°43°85%
Canadian model (GEM)50°42°86%
The average51°43°85%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.