Minority Report

Dalhart, TX — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Dallam County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 71°   Low 39°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—36°0%
US model (GFS)71°37°0%
European model (ECMWF)68°42°0%
German model (ICON)71°40°0%
Canadian model (GEM)72°38°0%
The average71°39°0%

Friday, November 13

High 62°   Low 38°   Rain 2%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 6°, rain spread 9 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service63°40°9%
US model (GFS)65°39°1%
European model (ECMWF)61°39°0%
German model (ICON)59°36°0%
Canadian model (GEM)61°33°0%
The average62°38°2%

Saturday, November 14

High 48°   Low 40°   Rain 82%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 7°, rain spread 28 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 100% against a group average of 82%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service52°37°74%
US model (GFS)50°39°86%
European model (ECMWF)46°41°100%
German model (ICON)45°42°80%
Canadian model (GEM)46°40°72%
The average48°40°82%

Sunday, November 15

High 46°   Low 39°   Rain 50%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 5°, rain spread 67 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 6% against a group average of 50%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service49°34°6%
US model (GFS)47°41°73%
European model (ECMWF)44°40°71%
German model (ICON)45°41°50%
Canadian model (GEM)44°37°48%
The average46°39°50%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.