Dallas, OR — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Polk County.
Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.
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High 56° Low 48° Rain 20%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 4°, rain spread 91 points, 4 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | — | 47° | 91% |
| US model (GFS) | 55° | 49° | 5% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 56° | 49° | 0% |
| German model (ICON) | 60° | 51° | 3% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 55° | 46° | 2% |
| The average | 56° | 48° | 20% |
High 55° Low 47° Rain 96%
Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 21 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 55° | 47° | 100% |
| US model (GFS) | 53° | 45° | 79% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 56° | 47° | 100% |
| German model (ICON) | 55° | 50° | 100% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 55° | 46° | 100% |
| The average | 55° | 47° | 96% |
High 56° Low 48° Rain 98%
Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 3 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 56° | 48° | 97% |
| US model (GFS) | 54° | 46° | 97% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 59° | 47° | 98% |
| German model (ICON) | 57° | 53° | 97% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 56° | 49° | 100% |
| The average | 56° | 48° | 98% |
High 53° Low 44° Rain 99%
They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 3 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 52° | 41° | 97% |
| US model (GFS) | 53° | 43° | 97% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 54° | 45° | 100% |
| German model (ICON) | 54° | 48° | 100% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 54° | 44° | 100% |
| The average | 53° | 44° | 99% |
Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.