Minority Report

Dallas, TX — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Dallas County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 77°   Low 51°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—51°0%
US model (GFS)78°52°0%
European model (ECMWF)76°53°0%
German model (ICON)79°51°0%
Canadian model (GEM)77°46°0%
The average77°51°0%

Friday, November 13

High 68°   Low 50°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 1 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service69°49°1%
US model (GFS)67°52°0%
European model (ECMWF)66°52°0%
German model (ICON)68°50°0%
Canadian model (GEM)70°46°0%
The average68°50°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 63°   Low 47°   Rain 51%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 5°, rain spread 67 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 14% against a group average of 51%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service65°47°60%
US model (GFS)65°46°30%
European model (ECMWF)63°47°71%
German model (ICON)60°47°81%
Canadian model (GEM)65°48°14%
The average63°47°51%

Sunday, November 15

High 54°   Low 45°   Rain 94%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 11°, rain spread 18 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the US model (GFS) stands apart, rain 82% against a group average of 94%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service55°46°93%
US model (GFS)59°47°82%
European model (ECMWF)53°47°100%
German model (ICON)48°45°100%
Canadian model (GEM)53°43°95%
The average54°45°94%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.