Minority Report

Danbury, NC — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Stokes County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 65°   Low 44°   Rain 24%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 46 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the German model (ICON) stands apart, rain 48% against a group average of 24%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—39°2%
US model (GFS)66°46°14%
European model (ECMWF)64°47°37%
German model (ICON)64°42°48%
Canadian model (GEM)66°44°19%
The average65°44°24%

Friday, November 13

High 54°   Low 36°   Rain 3%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 10 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service56°31°1%
US model (GFS)52°37°3%
European model (ECMWF)54°41°10%
German model (ICON)53°36°3%
Canadian model (GEM)55°37°0%
The average54°36°3%

Saturday, November 14

High 51°   Low 32°   Rain 2%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 4 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service52°29°0%
US model (GFS)50°32°4%
European model (ECMWF)50°38°4%
German model (ICON)50°33°0%
Canadian model (GEM)51°31°0%
The average51°32°2%

Sunday, November 15

High 55°   Low 32°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service56°29°0%
US model (GFS)54°36°0%
European model (ECMWF)53°35°0%
German model (ICON)57°32°0%
Canadian model (GEM)55°27°0%
The average55°32°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.