Minority Report

Dandridge, TN — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Jefferson County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 59°   Low 44°   Rain 75%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 66 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 34% against a group average of 75%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—37°34%
US model (GFS)58°43°44%
European model (ECMWF)59°47°100%
German model (ICON)60°47°98%
Canadian model (GEM)60°45°100%
The average59°44°75%

Friday, November 13

High 46°   Low 37°   Rain 57%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 63 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 93% against a group average of 57%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service47°33°72%
US model (GFS)45°34°30%
European model (ECMWF)47°39°93%
German model (ICON)47°41°40%
Canadian model (GEM)45°39°52%
The average46°37°57%

Saturday, November 14

High 46°   Low 34°   Rain 22%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 5°, rain spread 43 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 46% against a group average of 22%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service48°31°5%
US model (GFS)46°31°9%
European model (ECMWF)45°35°45%
German model (ICON)45°39°3%
Canadian model (GEM)43°34°46%
The average46°34°22%

Sunday, November 15

High 51°   Low 32°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service52°30°0%
US model (GFS)50°29°0%
European model (ECMWF)51°35°0%
German model (ICON)51°38°0%
Canadian model (GEM)49°31°0%
The average51°32°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.