Danville, IL — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Vermilion County.
Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.
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High 47° Low 36° Rain 36%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 1°, rain spread 50 points, 3 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | — | 34° | 32% |
| US model (GFS) | 47° | 36° | 7% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 46° | 37° | 47% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 47° | 38° | 57% |
| The average | 47° | 36° | 36% |
High 42° Low 33° Rain 24%
Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 18 points, 4 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 44° | 29° | 29% |
| US model (GFS) | 42° | 35° | 15% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 44° | 33° | 17% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 39° | 35° | 33% |
| The average | 42° | 33° | 24% |
High 47° Low 29° Rain 0%
They agree — trust it (highs spread 1°, rain spread 1 points, 4 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 47° | 27° | 0% |
| US model (GFS) | 47° | 32° | 1% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 48° | 30° | 0% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 47° | 26° | 0% |
| The average | 47° | 29° | 0% |
High 50° Low 27° Rain 0%
They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 51° | 27° | 0% |
| US model (GFS) | 50° | 33° | 0% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 49° | 28° | 0% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 49° | 20° | 0% |
| The average | 50° | 27° | 0% |
Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.