Minority Report

Danville, IN — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Hendricks County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 48°   Low 36°   Rain 44%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 4°, rain spread 63 points, 3 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 81% against a group average of 44%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—35°30%
US model (GFS)47°36°18%
European model (ECMWF)50°40°47%
Canadian model (GEM)48°36°81%
The average48°36°44%

Friday, November 13

High 42°   Low 32°   Rain 27%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 25 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the US model (GFS) stands apart, rain 13% against a group average of 27%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service42°30°26%
US model (GFS)41°32°13%
European model (ECMWF)44°34°31%
Canadian model (GEM)39°32°38%
The average42°32°27%

Saturday, November 14

High 46°   Low 29°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 1°, rain spread 1 points, 4 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service45°28°0%
US model (GFS)46°30°1%
European model (ECMWF)46°30°0%
Canadian model (GEM)46°26°0%
The average46°29°0%

Sunday, November 15

High 48°   Low 28°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service48°30°0%
US model (GFS)49°32°0%
European model (ECMWF)48°29°0%
Canadian model (GEM)48°22°0%
The average48°28°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.