Danville, PA — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Montour County.
Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.
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High 53° Low 39° Rain 97%
Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 11 points, 4 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | — | 35° | 89% |
| US model (GFS) | 51° | 41° | 97% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 54° | 41° | 100% |
| German model (ICON) | 51° | 40° | 100% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 54° | 39° | 100% |
| The average | 53° | 39° | 97% |
High 40° Low 35° Rain 87%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 35 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 41° | 31° | 76% |
| US model (GFS) | 41° | 35° | 65% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 40° | 36° | 100% |
| German model (ICON) | 40° | 37° | 98% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 39° | 35° | 96% |
| The average | 40° | 35° | 87% |
High 44° Low 34° Rain 11%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 3°, rain spread 31 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 44° | 32° | 2% |
| US model (GFS) | 43° | 33° | 6% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 46° | 34° | 5% |
| German model (ICON) | 45° | 35° | 10% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 43° | 35° | 33% |
| The average | 44° | 34° | 11% |
High 45° Low 34° Rain 1%
Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 4 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 47° | 32° | 0% |
| US model (GFS) | 44° | 32° | 0% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 44° | 37° | 4% |
| German model (ICON) | 45° | 38° | 0% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 44° | 33° | 0% |
| The average | 45° | 34° | 1% |
Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.