Minority Report

Danville, VA — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Danville city.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 68°   Low 43°   Rain 22%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 1°, rain spread 46 points, 3 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the German model (ICON) stands apart, rain 48% against a group average of 22%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—39°2%
US model (GFS)68°44°25%
German model (ICON)68°42°48%
Canadian model (GEM)68°46°14%
The average68°43°22%

Friday, November 13

High 57°   Low 36°   Rain 3%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 6 points, 4 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service59°31°6%
US model (GFS)54°38°3%
German model (ICON)55°35°3%
Canadian model (GEM)58°41°0%
The average57°36°3%

Saturday, November 14

High 52°   Low 30°   Rain 1%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 2 points, 4 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service54°28°1%
US model (GFS)52°31°2%
German model (ICON)52°29°0%
Canadian model (GEM)52°33°0%
The average52°30°1%

Sunday, November 15

High 56°   Low 29°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service57°29°0%
US model (GFS)55°34°0%
German model (ICON)57°28°0%
Canadian model (GEM)54°26°0%
The average56°29°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.