Minority Report

Davenport, WA — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Lincoln County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 54°   Low 41°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 1 points, 3 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—39°1%
US model (GFS)51°42°0%
German model (ICON)56°42°0%
Canadian model (GEM)55°42°0%
The average54°41°0%

Friday, November 13

High 60°   Low 41°   Rain 28%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 3°, rain spread 31 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the US model (GFS) stands apart, rain 12% against a group average of 28%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service61°41°43%
US model (GFS)58°38°12%
German model (ICON)61°44°33%
Canadian model (GEM)59°42°24%
The average60°41°28%

Saturday, November 14

High 52°   Low 40°   Rain 36%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 34 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 56% against a group average of 36%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service53°38°56%
US model (GFS)51°40°37%
German model (ICON)51°44°28%
Canadian model (GEM)53°40°22%
The average52°40°36%

Sunday, November 15

High 47°   Low 41°   Rain 83%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 30 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the German model (ICON) stands apart, rain 100% against a group average of 83%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service50°38°72%
US model (GFS)45°41°70%
German model (ICON)47°42°100%
Canadian model (GEM)46°41°90%
The average47°41°83%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.