Minority Report

Dawsonville, GA — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Dawson County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 60°   Low 44°   Rain 60%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 94 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 1% against a group average of 60%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—37°1%
US model (GFS)60°43°60%
European model (ECMWF)62°48°88%
German model (ICON)59°45°55%
Canadian model (GEM)60°47°95%
The average60°44°60%

Friday, November 13

High 49°   Low 36°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 2 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service50°33°2%
US model (GFS)48°35°0%
European model (ECMWF)48°40°0%
German model (ICON)50°37°0%
Canadian model (GEM)48°38°0%
The average49°36°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 50°   Low 33°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service51°28°0%
US model (GFS)51°32°0%
European model (ECMWF)49°36°0%
German model (ICON)52°33°0%
Canadian model (GEM)50°34°0%
The average50°33°0%

Sunday, November 15

High 54°   Low 28°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service55°33°0%
US model (GFS)56°30°0%
European model (ECMWF)53°28°0%
German model (ICON)54°23°0%
Canadian model (GEM)54°26°0%
The average54°28°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.