Dayton, TN — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Rhea County.
Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.
← All cities and the scoreboard
High 60° Low 44° Rain 47%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 71 points, 4 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | — | 35° | 5% |
| US model (GFS) | 61° | 45° | 33% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 61° | 48° | 54% |
| German model (ICON) | 59° | 47° | 68% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 60° | 47° | 76% |
| The average | 60° | 44° | 47% |
High 48° Low 38° Rain 3%
Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 5 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 48° | 32° | 5% |
| US model (GFS) | 47° | 38° | 3% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 48° | 40° | 3% |
| German model (ICON) | 50° | 40° | 0% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 47° | 37° | 4% |
| The average | 48° | 38° | 3% |
High 51° Low 34° Rain 1%
Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 5 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 51° | 30° | 0% |
| US model (GFS) | 51° | 34° | 1% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 51° | 35° | 0% |
| German model (ICON) | 53° | 37° | 0% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 49° | 33° | 5% |
| The average | 51° | 34° | 1% |
High 54° Low 33° Rain 0%
Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 1 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 54° | 32° | 1% |
| US model (GFS) | 53° | 32° | 0% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 54° | 35° | 0% |
| German model (ICON) | 55° | 35° | 0% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 52° | 30° | 0% |
| The average | 54° | 33° | 0% |
Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.