Minority Report

Dayton, WA — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Columbia County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 58°   Low 44°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 1 points, 3 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—46°1%
US model (GFS)59°42°0%
German model (ICON)60°46°0%
Canadian model (GEM)56°42°0%
The average58°44°0%

Friday, November 13

High 65°   Low 45°   Rain 42%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 4°, rain spread 53 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 15% against a group average of 42%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service67°42°68%
US model (GFS)63°46°33%
German model (ICON)67°49°53%
Canadian model (GEM)64°44°15%
The average65°45°42%

Saturday, November 14

High 57°   Low 44°   Rain 33%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 35 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 15% against a group average of 33%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service57°41°21%
US model (GFS)57°42°46%
German model (ICON)57°49°50%
Canadian model (GEM)59°44°15%
The average57°44°33%

Sunday, November 15

High 55°   Low 44°   Rain 63%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 7°, rain spread 32 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 43% against a group average of 63%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service56°39°75%
US model (GFS)51°47°61%
German model (ICON)56°47°74%
Canadian model (GEM)58°45°43%
The average55°44°63%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.