Minority Report

De Queen, AR — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Sevier County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 72°   Low 44°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 1 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—39°1%
US model (GFS)74°42°1%
European model (ECMWF)71°50°0%
German model (ICON)72°40°0%
Canadian model (GEM)72°48°0%
The average72°44°0%

Friday, November 13

High 61°   Low 39°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 1 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service63°37°1%
US model (GFS)62°42°1%
European model (ECMWF)59°43°0%
German model (ICON)59°32°0%
Canadian model (GEM)61°41°0%
The average61°39°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 57°   Low 36°   Rain 5%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 16 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 16% against a group average of 5%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service57°37°16%
US model (GFS)59°36°2%
European model (ECMWF)55°39°4%
German model (ICON)57°30°1%
Canadian model (GEM)55°40°0%
The average57°36°5%

Sunday, November 15

High 50°   Low 42°   Rain 72%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 8°, rain spread 22 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the US model (GFS) stands apart, rain 58% against a group average of 72%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service54°39°71%
US model (GFS)53°42°58%
European model (ECMWF)48°44°80%
German model (ICON)46°41°76%
Canadian model (GEM)50°44°76%
The average50°42°72%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.