Minority Report

Deadwood, SD — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Lawrence County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 59°   Low 40°   Rain 0%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 14°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—36°0%
US model (GFS)60°41°0%
European model (ECMWF)50°36°0%
German model (ICON)62°44°0%
Canadian model (GEM)64°43°0%
The average59°40°0%

Friday, November 13

High 62°   Low 41°   Rain 0%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 22°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service62°40°0%
US model (GFS)62°44°0%
European model (ECMWF)48°33°0%
German model (ICON)68°44°0%
Canadian model (GEM)70°44°0%
The average62°41°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 59°   Low 41°   Rain 0%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 13°, rain spread 1 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service60°36°1%
US model (GFS)63°44°0%
European model (ECMWF)51°36°0%
German model (ICON)64°46°0%
Canadian model (GEM)57°42°0%
The average59°41°0%

Sunday, November 15

High 57°   Low 40°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 1 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service58°37°1%
US model (GFS)59°42°0%
European model (ECMWF)54°35°0%
German model (ICON)59°42°0%
Canadian model (GEM)56°41°0%
The average57°40°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.