Minority Report

Decatur, AL — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Morgan County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 63°   Low 44°   Rain 28%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 0°, rain spread 75 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 75% against a group average of 28%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—35°7%
US model (GFS)63°45°6%
European model (ECMWF)63°46°75%
German model (ICON)62°46°0%
Canadian model (GEM)62°48°52%
The average63°44°28%

Friday, November 13

High 51°   Low 37°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service52°32°0%
US model (GFS)49°39°0%
European model (ECMWF)50°40°0%
German model (ICON)52°35°0%
Canadian model (GEM)51°39°0%
The average51°37°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 52°   Low 35°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service53°31°0%
US model (GFS)52°36°0%
European model (ECMWF)51°38°0%
German model (ICON)53°31°0%
Canadian model (GEM)52°37°0%
The average52°35°0%

Sunday, November 15

High 55°   Low 34°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 1 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service56°35°1%
US model (GFS)55°38°0%
European model (ECMWF)54°35°0%
German model (ICON)56°33°0%
Canadian model (GEM)55°31°0%
The average55°34°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.