Minority Report

Decatur, TN — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Meigs County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 60°   Low 44°   Rain 51%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 3°, rain spread 74 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 4% against a group average of 51%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—34°4%
US model (GFS)60°45°23%
European model (ECMWF)62°49°73%
German model (ICON)59°46°78%
Canadian model (GEM)60°45°76%
The average60°44°51%

Friday, November 13

High 48°   Low 36°   Rain 6%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 14 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service49°31°7%
US model (GFS)47°37°3%
European model (ECMWF)49°41°14%
German model (ICON)50°39°0%
Canadian model (GEM)45°34°4%
The average48°36°6%

Saturday, November 14

High 50°   Low 32°   Rain 1%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 5 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service51°28°0%
US model (GFS)50°32°1%
European model (ECMWF)51°36°0%
German model (ICON)51°36°0%
Canadian model (GEM)48°29°5%
The average50°32°1%

Sunday, November 15

High 53°   Low 31°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 1 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service54°30°1%
US model (GFS)53°32°0%
European model (ECMWF)54°35°0%
German model (ICON)54°33°0%
Canadian model (GEM)51°25°0%
The average53°31°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.