Minority Report

Decatur, TX — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Wise County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 76°   Low 47°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—47°0%
US model (GFS)76°48°0%
European model (ECMWF)76°50°0%
German model (ICON)75°45°0%
Canadian model (GEM)76°46°0%
The average76°47°0%

Friday, November 13

High 65°   Low 47°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service65°46°0%
US model (GFS)64°48°0%
European model (ECMWF)64°50°0%
German model (ICON)64°46°0%
Canadian model (GEM)66°44°0%
The average65°47°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 60°   Low 45°   Rain 67%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 6°, rain spread 70 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 24% against a group average of 67%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service61°46°77%
US model (GFS)62°43°44%
European model (ECMWF)59°46°94%
German model (ICON)57°46°94%
Canadian model (GEM)60°43°24%
The average60°45°67%

Sunday, November 15

High 52°   Low 44°   Rain 92%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 9°, rain spread 18 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the US model (GFS) stands apart, rain 82% against a group average of 92%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service52°43°85%
US model (GFS)54°44°82%
European model (ECMWF)52°45°100%
German model (ICON)46°44°98%
Canadian model (GEM)55°42°95%
The average52°44°92%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.