Minority Report

Dedham, MA — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Norfolk County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 54°   Low 41°   Rain 93%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 22 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the US model (GFS) stands apart, rain 78% against a group average of 93%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—39°100%
US model (GFS)53°41°78%
European model (ECMWF)53°42°99%
German model (ICON)52°43°90%
Canadian model (GEM)56°39°97%
The average54°41°93%

Friday, November 13

High 45°   Low 36°   Rain 94%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 6°, rain spread 19 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 81% against a group average of 94%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service41°34°81%
US model (GFS)45°36°91%
European model (ECMWF)46°36°100%
German model (ICON)47°37°100%
Canadian model (GEM)47°35°100%
The average45°36°94%

Saturday, November 14

High 45°   Low 32°   Rain 8%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 12 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service45°32°17%
US model (GFS)46°33°5%
European model (ECMWF)46°32°5%
German model (ICON)46°34°5%
Canadian model (GEM)44°30°10%
The average45°32°8%

Sunday, November 15

High 47°   Low 33°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 1 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service49°32°1%
US model (GFS)47°35°0%
European model (ECMWF)47°34°0%
German model (ICON)47°35°0%
Canadian model (GEM)47°32°0%
The average47°33°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.