Minority Report

Deer Lodge, MT — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Powell County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 62°   Low 38°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—34°0%
US model (GFS)60°35°0%
European model (ECMWF)60°38°0%
German model (ICON)65°48°0%
Canadian model (GEM)62°35°0%
The average62°38°0%

Friday, November 13

High 59°   Low 37°   Rain 1%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 4 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service58°33°4%
US model (GFS)60°36°0%
European model (ECMWF)58°36°0%
German model (ICON)59°46°0%
Canadian model (GEM)60°36°0%
The average59°37°1%

Saturday, November 14

High 51°   Low 32°   Rain 23%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 14 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service49°26°20%
US model (GFS)50°34°30%
European model (ECMWF)50°35°16%
German model (ICON)53°35°30%
Canadian model (GEM)51°30°19%
The average51°32°23%

Sunday, November 15

High 51°   Low 31°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 2 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service50°28°2%
US model (GFS)50°31°0%
European model (ECMWF)53°32°0%
German model (ICON)51°35°0%
Canadian model (GEM)52°27°0%
The average51°31°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.