Minority Report

Del Norte, CO — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Rio Grande County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 54°   Low 29°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—28°0%
US model (GFS)57°28°0%
European model (ECMWF)52°29°0%
German model (ICON)54°37°0%
Canadian model (GEM)53°22°0%
The average54°29°0%

Friday, November 13

High 51°   Low 29°   Rain 16%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 7°, rain spread 73 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 73% against a group average of 16%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service51°31°73%
US model (GFS)54°31°1%
European model (ECMWF)50°28°2%
German model (ICON)52°35°0%
Canadian model (GEM)47°20°5%
The average51°29°16%

Saturday, November 14

High 44°   Low 29°   Rain 57%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 4°, rain spread 43 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the German model (ICON) stands apart, rain 35% against a group average of 57%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service45°27°78%
US model (GFS)46°29°48%
European model (ECMWF)42°29°69%
German model (ICON)45°34°35%
Canadian model (GEM)44°24°57%
The average44°29°57%

Sunday, November 15

High 47°   Low 27°   Rain 2%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 4 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service47°26°0%
US model (GFS)45°28°2%
European model (ECMWF)47°26°0%
German model (ICON)48°32°4%
Canadian model (GEM)47°23°2%
The average47°27°2%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.