Minority Report

Delaware, OH — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Delaware County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 51°   Low 40°   Rain 95%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 15 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—36°91%
US model (GFS)52°42°85%
European model (ECMWF)50°42°100%
German model (ICON)50°42°98%
Canadian model (GEM)51°40°100%
The average51°40°95%

Friday, November 13

High 42°   Low 33°   Rain 71%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 60 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 40% against a group average of 71%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service41°28°40%
US model (GFS)42°34°51%
European model (ECMWF)42°34°100%
German model (ICON)42°34°68%
Canadian model (GEM)43°34°95%
The average42°33°71%

Saturday, November 14

High 43°   Low 30°   Rain 9%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 6°, rain spread 26 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 29% against a group average of 9%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service43°33°3%
US model (GFS)43°32°5%
European model (ECMWF)45°29°3%
German model (ICON)43°29°3%
Canadian model (GEM)39°27°29%
The average43°30°9%

Sunday, November 15

High 44°   Low 34°   Rain 1%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 7°, rain spread 2 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service46°30°1%
US model (GFS)45°38°0%
European model (ECMWF)43°36°2%
German model (ICON)47°38°1%
Canadian model (GEM)40°28°0%
The average44°34°1%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.