Minority Report

Delhi, NY — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Delaware County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 45°   Low 33°   Rain 99%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 4 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—26°96%
US model (GFS)43°33°100%
European model (ECMWF)45°35°100%
German model (ICON)46°35°100%
Canadian model (GEM)44°34°100%
The average45°33°99%

Friday, November 13

High 35°   Low 27°   Rain 96%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 14 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 86% against a group average of 96%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service37°22°86%
US model (GFS)34°27°94%
European model (ECMWF)35°30°100%
German model (ICON)35°32°100%
Canadian model (GEM)34°25°100%
The average35°27°96%

Saturday, November 14

High 36°   Low 27°   Rain 65%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 3°, rain spread 34 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the US model (GFS) stands apart, rain 47% against a group average of 65%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service37°25°53%
US model (GFS)34°24°47%
European model (ECMWF)36°27°79%
German model (ICON)37°31°67%
Canadian model (GEM)36°27°81%
The average36°27°65%

Sunday, November 15

High 36°   Low 30°   Rain 43%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 4°, rain spread 31 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the German model (ICON) stands apart, rain 21% against a group average of 43%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service38°26°52%
US model (GFS)34°28°47%
European model (ECMWF)36°32°49%
German model (ICON)37°33°21%
Canadian model (GEM)36°32°46%
The average36°30°43%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.