Minority Report

Delta, CO — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Delta County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 59°   Low 29°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—29°0%
US model (GFS)61°27°0%
European model (ECMWF)58°34°0%
German model (ICON)60°34°0%
Canadian model (GEM)57°21°0%
The average59°29°0%

Friday, November 13

High 61°   Low 32°   Rain 26%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 6°, rain spread 86 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 89% against a group average of 26%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service62°34°89%
US model (GFS)64°31°3%
European model (ECMWF)62°35°10%
German model (ICON)60°34°15%
Canadian model (GEM)58°25°14%
The average61°32°26%

Saturday, November 14

High 52°   Low 36°   Rain 76%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 7°, rain spread 26 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the German model (ICON) stands apart, rain 63% against a group average of 76%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service52°34°89%
US model (GFS)47°38°67%
European model (ECMWF)54°40°82%
German model (ICON)54°40°63%
Canadian model (GEM)51°30°81%
The average52°36°76%

Sunday, November 15

High 54°   Low 36°   Rain 3%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 6 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service54°31°1%
US model (GFS)54°43°2%
European model (ECMWF)56°40°4%
German model (ICON)56°37°3%
Canadian model (GEM)51°30°7%
The average54°36°3%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.