Minority Report

Deming, NM — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Luna County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 69°   Low 43°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 1°, rain spread 1 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—44°1%
US model (GFS)69°41°0%
European model (ECMWF)70°47°0%
German model (ICON)69°45°0%
Canadian model (GEM)70°39°0%
The average69°43°0%

Friday, November 13

High 65°   Low 45°   Rain 53%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 6°, rain spread 27 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 71% against a group average of 53%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service66°45°44%
US model (GFS)68°45°48%
European model (ECMWF)65°48°71%
German model (ICON)62°46°53%
Canadian model (GEM)64°39°50%
The average65°45°53%

Saturday, November 14

High 63°   Low 45°   Rain 20%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 36 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 38% against a group average of 20%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service63°43°2%
US model (GFS)62°47°5%
European model (ECMWF)64°48°28%
German model (ICON)62°46°25%
Canadian model (GEM)63°41°38%
The average63°45°20%

Sunday, November 15

High 63°   Low 41°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 2 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service63°39°0%
US model (GFS)63°47°0%
European model (ECMWF)63°42°2%
German model (ICON)64°43°0%
Canadian model (GEM)62°33°0%
The average63°41°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.