Denton, TX — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Denton County.
Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.
← All cities and the scoreboard
High 77° Low 48° Rain 0%
Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | — | 49° | 0% |
| US model (GFS) | 79° | 51° | 0% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 77° | 50° | 0% |
| German model (ICON) | 77° | 45° | 0% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 76° | 46° | 0% |
| The average | 77° | 48° | 0% |
High 66° Low 48° Rain 0%
Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 67° | 47° | 0% |
| US model (GFS) | 68° | 51° | 0% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 64° | 50° | 0% |
| German model (ICON) | 64° | 46° | 0% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 66° | 46° | 0% |
| The average | 66° | 48° | 0% |
High 61° Low 46° Rain 63%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 6°, rain spread 80 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 63° | 47° | 67% |
| US model (GFS) | 64° | 45° | 44% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 60° | 46° | 94% |
| German model (ICON) | 58° | 44° | 94% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 61° | 46° | 14% |
| The average | 61° | 46° | 63% |
High 53° Low 44° Rain 93%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 9°, rain spread 17 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 54° | 44° | 89% |
| US model (GFS) | 56° | 44° | 83% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 51° | 46° | 100% |
| German model (ICON) | 47° | 44° | 99% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 54° | 43° | 95% |
| The average | 53° | 44° | 93% |
Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.