Minority Report

Detroit, MI — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Wayne County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 48°   Low 40°   Rain 63%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 60 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the German model (ICON) stands apart, rain 93% against a group average of 63%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—36°36%
US model (GFS)48°40°33%
European model (ECMWF)49°41°80%
German model (ICON)47°42°93%
Canadian model (GEM)47°42°71%
The average48°40°63%

Friday, November 13

High 42°   Low 34°   Rain 63%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 41 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the US model (GFS) stands apart, rain 34% against a group average of 63%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service43°31°64%
US model (GFS)41°32°34%
European model (ECMWF)41°36°75%
German model (ICON)42°35°68%
Canadian model (GEM)42°34°72%
The average42°34°63%

Saturday, November 14

High 45°   Low 33°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 2 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service46°34°0%
US model (GFS)43°32°2%
European model (ECMWF)44°32°0%
German model (ICON)46°33°0%
Canadian model (GEM)44°34°0%
The average45°33°0%

Sunday, November 15

High 47°   Low 35°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 1 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service47°32°0%
US model (GFS)46°42°1%
European model (ECMWF)45°34°0%
German model (ICON)48°38°0%
Canadian model (GEM)48°29°0%
The average47°35°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.