Minority Report

Dickens, TX — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Dickens County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 73°   Low 47°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—47°0%
US model (GFS)74°51°0%
European model (ECMWF)73°45°0%
German model (ICON)73°45°0%
Canadian model (GEM)72°45°0%
The average73°47°0%

Friday, November 13

High 62°   Low 46°   Rain 1%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 6°, rain spread 5 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service62°46°5%
US model (GFS)65°48°0%
European model (ECMWF)62°46°0%
German model (ICON)58°46°0%
Canadian model (GEM)63°45°0%
The average62°46°1%

Saturday, November 14

High 55°   Low 45°   Rain 88%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 10°, rain spread 21 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 100% against a group average of 88%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service56°47°79%
US model (GFS)61°42°83%
European model (ECMWF)52°46°100%
German model (ICON)52°47°80%
Canadian model (GEM)54°44°96%
The average55°45°88%

Sunday, November 15

High 55°   Low 42°   Rain 60%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 13°, rain spread 69 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 14% against a group average of 60%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service55°40°14%
US model (GFS)65°46°83%
European model (ECMWF)52°43°76%
German model (ICON)52°43°70%
Canadian model (GEM)52°39°57%
The average55°42°60%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.