Minority Report

Dighton, KS — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Lane County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 62°   Low 37°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—33°0%
US model (GFS)62°36°0%
European model (ECMWF)60°39°0%
German model (ICON)63°37°0%
Canadian model (GEM)65°38°0%
The average62°37°0%

Friday, November 13

High 54°   Low 33°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 2 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service54°33°2%
US model (GFS)54°34°0%
European model (ECMWF)54°36°0%
German model (ICON)53°30°0%
Canadian model (GEM)56°30°0%
The average54°33°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 49°   Low 34°   Rain 74%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 27 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the German model (ICON) stands apart, rain 59% against a group average of 74%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service49°34°83%
US model (GFS)51°32°68%
European model (ECMWF)47°36°75%
German model (ICON)49°35°59%
Canadian model (GEM)48°35°86%
The average49°34°74%

Sunday, November 15

High 44°   Low 38°   Rain 72%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 5°, rain spread 71 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 25% against a group average of 72%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service46°33°25%
US model (GFS)42°40°78%
European model (ECMWF)47°39°96%
German model (ICON)43°40°70%
Canadian model (GEM)44°38°92%
The average44°38°72%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.