Dillingham Census Area, AK — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Dillingham Census Area.
Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.
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High 25° Low 18° Rain 59%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 4°, rain spread 44 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 26° | 15° | 34% |
| US model (GFS) | 26° | 23° | 71% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 26° | 15° | 78% |
| German model (ICON) | 26° | 22° | 68% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 23° | 16° | 43% |
| The average | 25° | 18° | 59% |
High 25° Low 14° Rain 10%
Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 28 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 25° | 12° | 28% |
| US model (GFS) | 27° | 22° | 7% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 22° | 11° | 0% |
| German model (ICON) | 27° | 18° | 8% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 22° | 6° | 6% |
| The average | 25° | 14° | 10% |
High 23° Low 11° Rain 1%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 9°, rain spread 3 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 24° | 10° | 2% |
| US model (GFS) | 25° | 19° | 3% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 24° | 12° | 0% |
| German model (ICON) | 26° | 18° | 0% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 17° | -2° | 0% |
| The average | 23° | 11° | 1% |
High 18° Low 9° Rain 12%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 10°, rain spread 31 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 20° | 13° | 32% |
| US model (GFS) | 20° | 16° | 21% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 17° | 9° | 1% |
| German model (ICON) | 21° | 12° | 4% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 10° | -7° | 4% |
| The average | 18° | 9° | 12% |
Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.