Minority Report

Dillon, SC — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Dillon County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 75°   Low 50°   Rain 10%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 31 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 31% against a group average of 10%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—42°0%
US model (GFS)76°51°2%
European model (ECMWF)74°54°31%
German model (ICON)76°50°15%
Canadian model (GEM)74°52°2%
The average75°50°10%

Friday, November 13

High 60°   Low 41°   Rain 1%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 2 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service62°35°2%
US model (GFS)59°44°1%
European model (ECMWF)59°46°0%
German model (ICON)60°38°0%
Canadian model (GEM)60°43°0%
The average60°41°1%

Saturday, November 14

High 56°   Low 35°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 1 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service58°31°0%
US model (GFS)56°36°1%
European model (ECMWF)55°40°0%
German model (ICON)56°33°0%
Canadian model (GEM)55°34°0%
The average56°35°0%

Sunday, November 15

High 57°   Low 32°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service58°32°0%
US model (GFS)57°35°0%
European model (ECMWF)56°37°0%
German model (ICON)58°27°0%
Canadian model (GEM)56°28°0%
The average57°32°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.