Minority Report

Dimmitt, TX — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Castro County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 70°   Low 39°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—39°0%
US model (GFS)69°38°0%
European model (ECMWF)69°41°0%
German model (ICON)71°40°0%
Canadian model (GEM)69°38°0%
The average70°39°0%

Friday, November 13

High 64°   Low 40°   Rain 6%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 2°, rain spread 18 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 18% against a group average of 6%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service64°44°18%
US model (GFS)65°41°1%
European model (ECMWF)63°41°0%
German model (ICON)62°40°0%
Canadian model (GEM)64°35°13%
The average64°40°6%

Saturday, November 14

High 53°   Low 44°   Rain 80%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 10°, rain spread 28 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 99% against a group average of 80%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service54°42°71%
US model (GFS)59°42°71%
European model (ECMWF)50°44°99%
German model (ICON)50°45°83%
Canadian model (GEM)52°44°78%
The average53°44°80%

Sunday, November 15

High 49°   Low 40°   Rain 38%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 8°, rain spread 69 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 1% against a group average of 38%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service51°37°1%
US model (GFS)54°42°70%
European model (ECMWF)46°41°33%
German model (ICON)48°42°35%
Canadian model (GEM)47°38°52%
The average49°40°38%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.