Minority Report

Dinwiddie, VA — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Dinwiddie County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 70°   Low 44°   Rain 27%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 51 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the German model (ICON) stands apart, rain 60% against a group average of 27%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—41°9%
US model (GFS)71°44°16%
European model (ECMWF)69°47°33%
German model (ICON)70°46°60%
Canadian model (GEM)70°44°16%
The average70°44°27%

Friday, November 13

High 55°   Low 36°   Rain 3%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 8 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service56°30°8%
US model (GFS)54°38°1%
European model (ECMWF)54°41°0%
German model (ICON)55°35°5%
Canadian model (GEM)56°36°0%
The average55°36°3%

Saturday, November 14

High 52°   Low 31°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 1 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service53°29°0%
US model (GFS)52°32°1%
European model (ECMWF)50°36°0%
German model (ICON)52°28°0%
Canadian model (GEM)52°31°0%
The average52°31°0%

Sunday, November 15

High 55°   Low 33°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service56°30°0%
US model (GFS)54°34°0%
European model (ECMWF)55°36°0%
German model (ICON)57°32°0%
Canadian model (GEM)54°32°0%
The average55°33°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.