Minority Report

Dixon, KY — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Webster County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 57°   Low 37°   Rain 22%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 33 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 2% against a group average of 22%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—34°2%
US model (GFS)56°37°26%
European model (ECMWF)57°41°33%
German model (ICON)57°36°35%
Canadian model (GEM)57°36°14%
The average57°37°22%

Friday, November 13

High 45°   Low 32°   Rain 4%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 15 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 15% against a group average of 4%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service46°28°15%
US model (GFS)43°34°1%
European model (ECMWF)46°37°0%
German model (ICON)46°30°3%
Canadian model (GEM)46°32°0%
The average45°32°4%

Saturday, November 14

High 49°   Low 29°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service49°27°0%
US model (GFS)50°30°0%
European model (ECMWF)48°32°0%
German model (ICON)50°28°0%
Canadian model (GEM)49°26°0%
The average49°29°0%

Sunday, November 15

High 53°   Low 28°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service52°29°0%
US model (GFS)53°34°0%
European model (ECMWF)52°32°0%
German model (ICON)55°27°0%
Canadian model (GEM)51°21°0%
The average53°28°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.