Minority Report

Dodgeville, WI — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Iowa County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 42°   Low 32°   Rain 23%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 68 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 69% against a group average of 23%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—28°1%
US model (GFS)43°34°2%
European model (ECMWF)41°33°69%
German model (ICON)42°31°10%
Canadian model (GEM)42°34°33%
The average42°32°23%

Friday, November 13

High 39°   Low 25°   Rain 1%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 3 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service39°23°3%
US model (GFS)40°25°1%
European model (ECMWF)37°27°0%
German model (ICON)40°27°0%
Canadian model (GEM)39°25°0%
The average39°25°1%

Saturday, November 14

High 42°   Low 24°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 1 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service43°25°0%
US model (GFS)42°24°1%
European model (ECMWF)41°25°0%
German model (ICON)43°26°0%
Canadian model (GEM)41°22°0%
The average42°24°0%

Sunday, November 15

High 45°   Low 25°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service45°27°0%
US model (GFS)46°29°0%
European model (ECMWF)44°27°0%
German model (ICON)46°26°0%
Canadian model (GEM)44°18°0%
The average45°25°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.