Minority Report

Dorado Municipio, PR — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Dorado Municipio.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 92°   Low 75°   Rain 46%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 4°, rain spread 70 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the US model (GFS) stands apart, rain 81% against a group average of 46%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—78°20%
US model (GFS)93°76°81%
European model (ECMWF)89°76°73%
German model (ICON)93°75°45%
Canadian model (GEM)91°73°11%
The average92°75°46%

Friday, November 13

High 92°   Low 78°   Rain 7%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 20 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 20% against a group average of 7%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service92°78°20%
US model (GFS)93°77°0%
European model (ECMWF)89°80°6%
German model (ICON)93°80°3%
Canadian model (GEM)91°76°5%
The average92°78°7%

Saturday, November 14

High 92°   Low 79°   Rain 24%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 3°, rain spread 61 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 61% against a group average of 24%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service92°77°30%
US model (GFS)94°79°0%
European model (ECMWF)91°80°61%
German model (ICON)94°82°13%
Canadian model (GEM)92°77°14%
The average92°79°24%

Sunday, November 15

High 91°   Low 77°   Rain 3%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 8°, rain spread 5 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service90°77°1%
US model (GFS)93°76°3%
European model (ECMWF)86°79°4%
German model (ICON)94°77°5%
Canadian model (GEM)91°74°0%
The average91°77°3%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.