Minority Report

Dove Creek, CO — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Dolores County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 57°   Low 35°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—34°0%
US model (GFS)57°36°0%
European model (ECMWF)58°34°0%
German model (ICON)57°36°0%
Canadian model (GEM)56°34°0%
The average57°35°0%

Friday, November 13

High 54°   Low 37°   Rain 49%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 3°, rain spread 85 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 98% against a group average of 49%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service54°36°98%
US model (GFS)55°36°13%
European model (ECMWF)54°36°63%
German model (ICON)52°41°45%
Canadian model (GEM)54°37°24%
The average54°37°49%

Saturday, November 14

High 43°   Low 33°   Rain 94%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 2°, rain spread 18 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 82% against a group average of 94%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service43°31°98%
US model (GFS)42°33°91%
European model (ECMWF)42°33°100%
German model (ICON)44°38°99%
Canadian model (GEM)42°31°82%
The average43°33°94%

Sunday, November 15

High 48°   Low 32°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 1 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service48°33°0%
US model (GFS)45°30°0%
European model (ECMWF)49°31°0%
German model (ICON)47°35°1%
Canadian model (GEM)48°28°0%
The average48°32°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.