Dover, NH — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Strafford County.
Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.
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High 48° Low 36° Rain 85%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 53 points, 4 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | — | 30° | 96% |
| US model (GFS) | 48° | 38° | 47% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 47° | 38° | 100% |
| German model (ICON) | 48° | 39° | 95% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 49° | 36° | 89% |
| The average | 48° | 36° | 85% |
High 44° Low 33° Rain 74%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 41 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 45° | 27° | 62% |
| US model (GFS) | 43° | 34° | 49% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 45° | 34° | 88% |
| German model (ICON) | 43° | 34° | 80% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 43° | 34° | 90% |
| The average | 44° | 33° | 74% |
High 46° Low 30° Rain 1%
They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 2 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 48° | 27° | 1% |
| US model (GFS) | 46° | 31° | 2% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 45° | 32° | 2% |
| German model (ICON) | 46° | 33° | 0% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 45° | 27° | 0% |
| The average | 46° | 30° | 1% |
High 47° Low 31° Rain 0%
They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 2 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 49° | 29° | 0% |
| US model (GFS) | 47° | 30° | 0% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 46° | 33° | 2% |
| German model (ICON) | 47° | 34° | 0% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 48° | 31° | 0% |
| The average | 47° | 31° | 0% |
Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.