Downieville, CA — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Sierra County.
Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.
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High 71° Low 46° Rain 21%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 4°, rain spread 64 points, 4 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | — | 37° | 64% |
| US model (GFS) | 73° | 47° | 8% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 70° | 49° | 0% |
| German model (ICON) | 71° | 45° | 13% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 70° | 50° | 20% |
| The average | 71° | 46° | 21% |
High 52° Low 40° Rain 100%
Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 54° | 30° | 100% |
| US model (GFS) | 52° | 42° | 100% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 50° | 41° | 100% |
| German model (ICON) | 53° | 44° | 100% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 52° | 40° | 100% |
| The average | 52° | 40° | 100% |
High 54° Low 37° Rain 59%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 3°, rain spread 52 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 55° | 30° | 43% |
| US model (GFS) | 52° | 41° | 48% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 54° | 35° | 49% |
| German model (ICON) | 54° | 40° | 60% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 53° | 40° | 95% |
| The average | 54° | 37° | 59% |
High 54° Low 38° Rain 95%
Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 6°, rain spread 8 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 55° | 32° | 94% |
| US model (GFS) | 56° | 40° | 93% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 55° | 39° | 92% |
| German model (ICON) | 51° | 39° | 100% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 55° | 40° | 95% |
| The average | 54° | 38° | 95% |
Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.