Minority Report

Dubois, ID — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Clark County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 56°   Low 31°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—33°0%
US model (GFS)57°29°0%
European model (ECMWF)53°36°0%
German model (ICON)56°25°0%
Canadian model (GEM)56°33°0%
The average56°31°0%

Friday, November 13

High 54°   Low 34°   Rain 32%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 4°, rain spread 68 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 76% against a group average of 32%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service55°36°76%
US model (GFS)55°34°8%
European model (ECMWF)51°37°14%
German model (ICON)54°28°50%
Canadian model (GEM)55°34°14%
The average54°34°32%

Saturday, November 14

High 45°   Low 35°   Rain 81%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 30 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the US model (GFS) stands apart, rain 63% against a group average of 81%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service46°30°76%
US model (GFS)43°36°63%
European model (ECMWF)45°39°93%
German model (ICON)44°34°90%
Canadian model (GEM)47°37°81%
The average45°35°81%

Sunday, November 15

High 44°   Low 29°   Rain 3%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 5 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service45°29°1%
US model (GFS)42°31°2%
European model (ECMWF)43°32°3%
German model (ICON)45°29°6%
Canadian model (GEM)44°25°2%
The average44°29°3%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.