Minority Report

Dubuque, IA — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Dubuque County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 44°   Low 34°   Rain 13%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 37 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 37% against a group average of 13%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—28°0%
US model (GFS)44°36°1%
European model (ECMWF)43°36°37%
German model (ICON)45°33°8%
Canadian model (GEM)46°38°19%
The average44°34°13%

Friday, November 13

High 42°   Low 28°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 1 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service42°25°1%
US model (GFS)43°27°1%
European model (ECMWF)40°30°0%
German model (ICON)42°29°0%
Canadian model (GEM)43°29°0%
The average42°28°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 44°   Low 26°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service45°26°0%
US model (GFS)45°25°0%
European model (ECMWF)44°28°0%
German model (ICON)45°29°0%
Canadian model (GEM)44°22°0%
The average44°26°0%

Sunday, November 15

High 47°   Low 26°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service47°28°0%
US model (GFS)48°30°0%
European model (ECMWF)46°29°0%
German model (ICON)48°26°0%
Canadian model (GEM)47°18°0%
The average47°26°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.