Minority Report

Duchesne, UT — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Duchesne County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 54°   Low 30°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 1°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—35°0%
US model (GFS)55°27°0%
European model (ECMWF)54°30°0%
German model (ICON)54°31°0%
Canadian model (GEM)53°26°0%
The average54°30°0%

Friday, November 13

High 52°   Low 31°   Rain 26%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 8°, rain spread 70 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 76% against a group average of 26%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service54°38°76%
US model (GFS)56°31°21%
European model (ECMWF)51°32°6%
German model (ICON)52°32°15%
Canadian model (GEM)48°24°14%
The average52°31°26%

Saturday, November 14

High 51°   Low 34°   Rain 83%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 5°, rain spread 31 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the German model (ICON) stands apart, rain 65% against a group average of 83%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service50°32°76%
US model (GFS)47°35°82%
European model (ECMWF)52°34°94%
German model (ICON)52°39°65%
Canadian model (GEM)52°32°96%
The average51°34°83%

Sunday, November 15

High 50°   Low 30°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service50°32°0%
US model (GFS)49°33°0%
European model (ECMWF)51°29°0%
German model (ICON)52°33°0%
Canadian model (GEM)50°24°0%
The average50°30°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.