Minority Report

Dunlap, TN — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Sequatchie County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 61°   Low 42°   Rain 47%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 3°, rain spread 82 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 90% against a group average of 47%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—32°8%
US model (GFS)62°45°30%
European model (ECMWF)61°44°88%
German model (ICON)62°44°20%
Canadian model (GEM)59°44°90%
The average61°42°47%

Friday, November 13

High 47°   Low 36°   Rain 4%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 11 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service47°31°8%
US model (GFS)47°36°1%
European model (ECMWF)46°39°2%
German model (ICON)48°37°0%
Canadian model (GEM)44°36°11%
The average47°36°4%

Saturday, November 14

High 50°   Low 31°   Rain 3%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 15 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 15% against a group average of 3%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service49°28°0%
US model (GFS)50°32°1%
European model (ECMWF)50°35°0%
German model (ICON)51°34°0%
Canadian model (GEM)49°27°15%
The average50°31°3%

Sunday, November 15

High 55°   Low 31°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 1 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service55°31°1%
US model (GFS)53°35°0%
European model (ECMWF)55°32°0%
German model (ICON)56°33°0%
Canadian model (GEM)54°24°0%
The average55°31°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.