Minority Report

Dunn County, WI — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Dunn County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 38°   Low 30°   Rain 21%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 57 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the German model (ICON) stands apart, rain 58% against a group average of 21%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—25°2%
US model (GFS)37°31°1%
European model (ECMWF)38°34°18%
German model (ICON)39°30°58%
Canadian model (GEM)38°30°24%
The average38°30°21%

Friday, November 13

High 38°   Low 26°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service40°22°0%
US model (GFS)36°31°0%
European model (ECMWF)37°28°0%
German model (ICON)39°26°0%
Canadian model (GEM)38°22°0%
The average38°26°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 42°   Low 24°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service43°24°0%
US model (GFS)42°30°0%
European model (ECMWF)41°26°0%
German model (ICON)42°23°0%
Canadian model (GEM)39°17°0%
The average42°24°0%

Sunday, November 15

High 45°   Low 24°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 1 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service44°27°0%
US model (GFS)46°28°1%
European model (ECMWF)45°27°0%
German model (ICON)46°27°0%
Canadian model (GEM)42°12°0%
The average45°24°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.