Minority Report

Durand, WI — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Pepin County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 40°   Low 31°   Rain 22%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 44 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the German model (ICON) stands apart, rain 45% against a group average of 22%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—25°1%
US model (GFS)39°31°1%
European model (ECMWF)39°34°24%
German model (ICON)41°31°45%
Canadian model (GEM)40°32°38%
The average40°31°22%

Friday, November 13

High 39°   Low 26°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service41°22°0%
US model (GFS)38°31°0%
European model (ECMWF)38°28°0%
German model (ICON)40°27°0%
Canadian model (GEM)40°20°0%
The average39°26°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 43°   Low 24°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service44°24°0%
US model (GFS)44°31°0%
European model (ECMWF)42°27°0%
German model (ICON)43°24°0%
Canadian model (GEM)41°16°0%
The average43°24°0%

Sunday, November 15

High 46°   Low 23°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service45°28°0%
US model (GFS)48°28°0%
European model (ECMWF)46°26°0%
German model (ICON)48°22°0%
Canadian model (GEM)45°10°0%
The average46°23°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.