Minority Report

Durango, CO — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of La Plata County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 59°   Low 34°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—30°0%
US model (GFS)60°36°0%
European model (ECMWF)60°37°0%
German model (ICON)59°33°0%
Canadian model (GEM)58°35°0%
The average59°34°0%

Friday, November 13

High 56°   Low 36°   Rain 77%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 4°, rain spread 63 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the US model (GFS) stands apart, rain 35% against a group average of 77%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service58°33°98%
US model (GFS)57°39°35%
European model (ECMWF)55°38°96%
German model (ICON)55°33°83%
Canadian model (GEM)54°36°71%
The average56°36°77%

Saturday, November 14

High 45°   Low 29°   Rain 98%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 7 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service47°26°98%
US model (GFS)44°30°93%
European model (ECMWF)45°31°100%
German model (ICON)44°33°98%
Canadian model (GEM)46°27°100%
The average45°29°98%

Sunday, November 15

High 48°   Low 28°   Rain 0%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 6°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service51°26°0%
US model (GFS)45°28°0%
European model (ECMWF)50°31°0%
German model (ICON)49°30°0%
Canadian model (GEM)48°24°0%
The average48°28°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.