Minority Report

Eads, CO — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Kiowa County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 69°   Low 34°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—33°0%
US model (GFS)68°34°0%
European model (ECMWF)69°38°0%
German model (ICON)70°33°0%
Canadian model (GEM)70°34°0%
The average69°34°0%

Friday, November 13

High 60°   Low 36°   Rain 2%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 8 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service60°36°8%
US model (GFS)60°38°0%
European model (ECMWF)59°38°0%
German model (ICON)58°37°0%
Canadian model (GEM)62°30°0%
The average60°36°2%

Saturday, November 14

High 49°   Low 36°   Rain 72%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 7°, rain spread 41 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 96% against a group average of 72%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service53°33°62%
US model (GFS)48°35°65%
European model (ECMWF)48°38°96%
German model (ICON)51°39°55%
Canadian model (GEM)46°36°81%
The average49°36°72%

Sunday, November 15

High 45°   Low 37°   Rain 52%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 6°, rain spread 76 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 8% against a group average of 52%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service48°30°8%
US model (GFS)44°41°40%
European model (ECMWF)46°38°78%
German model (ICON)42°40°49%
Canadian model (GEM)43°36°84%
The average45°37°52%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.